By C. Hood, D. K. C. Jones

An exam of alternative theoretical, methodological and useful ways in the direction of the administration of threat. Seven dimensions of the controversy are pointed out, and the case for every place is recommend, the total dialogue being set in context and point of view. This quantity makes an attempt to spot and juxtapose the contested doctrines and underlying assumptions within the box of danger administration.

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Thus, the use of diverse technologies of the same order of flexibility will make the final system more manageable as the future unravels, because its controllers will have more options available. For example, contrast an electricity-generating industry having only coal-fired plant, with one with a mix of coal and oil plant of the same lead time, unit size, infrastructure demands and capital intensity. The two sets of plants have the same flexibility, but the system consisting of only coalfired plant has fewer modes of operation than the mixed system.

5 Deaths per decade in significant earthquakes as a proportion of average global population per decade, 1900–89 (Source: Catalog of Significant Earthquakes, NGDC 1994). The International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction This technocentric optimism is clearly displayed in the anticipatory philosophy promulgated by the United Nations when declaring the 1990s the International Decade for Natural Disaster Reduction (IDNDR). The unanimous passage of General Assembly Resolution 42/169 on 11 December 1987 was based on the belief that more could be done to limit the impact of “natural” hazards, which were considered to be continuing to pose unacceptably high and escalating costs to human society through disastrous impacts estimated annually to claim an average of 150000 lives, make 40 million people homeless and result in immediate damages measured in tens of billions of dollars.

These ideas are amplified in Checkland (1981), Blockley (1992a) and Senge (1990). The reasons for the lack of systems thinking in science and engineering are 32 HAZARD ENGINEERING largely historical. Schon (1983) argues that, over the past century, the professions have been successfully incorporated into the universities, but that they have paid a very heavy intellectual price for joining. His thesis is that universities are slaves to a particular epistemology, which he calls “technical rationality”.

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